Tuesday, 27 June 2017

Guy McPherson on the IPCC, near-term extinction and other subjects

Near-term human extinction





Award-winning scientist Dr. Guy McPherson has concluded that for human civilization, the end is near. He advises the rate of change of our climate is increasing far more rapidly than we are being told, and this puts us on his endangered species list.

In this 2017 interview, McPherson reveals why the International Panel on Climate Change, and even many individual scientists, understate the problem. He critiques our modern “living arrangement,” and the lies our culture promulgates to avoid admitting, “We are trashing this planet at an astonishing rate of speed.” He also shares his thinking about a “sane” living arrangement. You might be surprised – both at how soon he expects we’ll be extinct, and at his positive advice about how to respond to this news.

Links and more information at www.conversationearth.org



A Blue Ocean event

Come to the Blue Ocean event

Brought forward from September to July!


  • 10 July at 18:0021:00 UTC+02
  • North Pole
  • Created for Arctic Sea Ice

Monday, 26 June 2017

A Doomsday sermon


Hell on Earth Erupts in Pakistan as Clueless Morons in USA Say It Can Never Happen Here


Hotter and drier again in the Middle East and US desert

Halfway through the year and we have already set new heat records

Los Angeles as the sun sets [Golden State Lifeguards]Los Angeles as the sun sets [Golden State Lifeguards]

24 June, 2017


At current rate of progress, 2017 will turn out to be the second hottest year since 1880, when the recording of global temperatures started. 

2016 was boosted a little by El Nino which would make it even more remarkable were 2017 even to be ranked second because El Nino has gone for now.

So far this year world records have been broken in both high temperature and low humidity. 

The heatwave in May that covered northern India, central Pakistan and eastern Iran created a new world record. Turbat in Pakistan recorded 53.5C on May 28, the new highest May temperature in the 137 year continuous list. It was also the highest temperature recorded for any month, in Pakistan.

Then, on June 20 in Death Valley, California, the thermometer read 52.5C, making it the highest temperature measured in the Western Hemisphere, so early in the year.

Hot days are more bearable if the nights are significantly cooler. Indeed that differential is often what determines the existence of a deadly 'heatwave'. 

Temperatures this high are rarely accompanied by cool enough nights and on June 17, Khasab in Oman set another world record: 44.2C became the highest night minimum temperature on record.

From a human point of view, such hot weather is only survivable if the humidity of the air is low enough for the body to cool by evaporation of sweat. Luckily for us, this always the case on this planet, in normal circumstances. Sometimes the humidity is extraordinarily low as it was this month in Iran and the desert US.

Safi-Abad Dezful in Iran measured less than 0.4 percent relative humidity on June 27 with a temperature of 46.5C. This effectively ties with Needles, California for the lowest known relative humidity reading on earth. The California reading was made in May 2014 but on June 20 this year Needles was as dry as 0.8 percent.

For readers in the Middle East, when the temperature is in the middle 40s during the summer, the typical RH is around about 10 percent. That is why it is possible to be outside even though that heat is above body temperature. Perspiration works to keep us cool enough in those conditions. This is often called 'dry heat'.

Relative humidity, RH, is the measure of how much water vapour is in the air compared with how much would be needed to saturate that air and form fog.
Hot air can carry more water vapour than cold air so using relative rather than absolute humidity allows a comparable figure at any temperature.

Figures verified by Maximiliano Herrera. 

With thanks to Jeff Masters et al at Weather Underground.


Drought in Western Australia

Australian state has ‘desperately dry’ weather

An emerging drought in Western Australia could reduce wheat and canola production in that state.



22 June, 2017




The western portion of the state has experienced “serious and severe rainfall deficiencies” during the fall months of March to May, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.

Large portions of the state have received rain that is in the lowest 10 percent of historical observations. As well, the winter (June-August) forecast calls for more dry conditions.

About 35 percent of the country’s wheat crop and 48 percent of its canola is grown in Western Australia, which is the country’s largest wheat exporting state.

The dryness in Western Australia is certainly a concern because the winter wheat is having difficulty getting established,” said Bruce Burnett, director of markets and weather with Glacier FarmMedia.

Some growers may be holding off on planting the crop until they see rain.

It is desperately dry there,” he said.

The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) is forecasting 40.1 million tonnes of total winter crop production, down 33 percent from the previous year but in line with the five-year average before the stellar 2016-17 crop.

Burnett thinks it could be smaller than that if conditions don’t improve in Western Australia.

You can’t have an average crop in Australia if Western Australia is having drought,” he said.

Wheat production is forecast at 24.2 million tonnes, which would be eight percent below the previous five-year average. Canola output is pegged at 3.3 million tonnes, an 11 percent decline.

It is also dry in large portions of South Australia, which is also a big producer of wheat, canola and lentils.

Rainfall has been average or better in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland in the eastern part of the country.

Those three states are home to 98 percent of the country’s chickpea production and 37 percent of its lentils with the remainder of the country’s lentils grown in South Australia.

Burnett said the pulse crop is off to a good start, but it is far from being made.

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology expects drier than average conditions for most of the country’s crop growing regions for June through August. Temperatures are expected to be higher than average in Western and South Australia.

The bureau said there is a 50 percent chance of El Nino developing in 2017, which is double the normal likelihood.

If that happens it would lead to a dry finish for the pulse crops in the eastern portion of the country, said Burnett.


ABARES is currently forecasting 1.4 million tonnes of chickpeas, a 46 percent increase over the previous five-year average, and 530,000 tonnes of lentils, a 50 percent bigger-than-average crop.

A series of wildfires blazing across US southwest

Wildfires blazing under extreme heat out West



CNN,
25 June, 2017

A series of wildfires is blazing across the Southwest as the chance of rain remains low amid a deadly heatwave.

Eighteen large fires are burning in the region, including six in Arizona, three in Utah, three in California, three in New Mexico, two in Nevada and a large one in Oregon. The two biggest wildfires are in southern Arizona and Utah.
Wildfires already have caused far more destruction than usual in the first half of 2017, meteorologist Haley Brink of the CNN Weather Center said. Almost 1 million more acres had burned by Thursday, compared with the 10-year average through June 22.

800 battle Arizona wildfire


The Frye Fire in southern Arizona covered nearly 30,000 acres as of Saturday afternoon and was 29% contained, the forest service at Coronado National Forest said.
More than 800 personnel are battling the fire, which started June 7. The Frye Fire is about 70 miles northeast of Tucson, the second-largest city in Arizona.
Gov. Doug Ducey declared a state of emergency Friday in Arizona to authorize the use of $200,000 of emergency funds to counter increased wildfire activity.
Since April, the state has experienced more than a dozen large wildfires "aided by high temperatures, winds, and available fuels," his office said in a statement.
"We thank the many brave men and women who have stepped up and responded to wildfires around Arizona," Ducey said. "I'm issuing today's declaration to make sure they have every resource needed to do their jobs and protect our communities."
The area near the fire is expecting temperatures in the triple digits through next Friday, with no sign of rain.
In Utah, too, raging fires continue to blaze with little rain relief in sight.
Nine communities, including Brian Head, a ski town near the Dixie National Forest in the southern part of the state, have been evacuated, officials said. At least 800 people have been evacuated so far, according Brian Head town manager Bret Howser.
"The evacuations are in place indefinitely and more could be coming. They will stay in place until the fire manager feels it's safe, "said Howser.
Officials at Southern Utah University opened their dorms to house those evacuees, according to CNN affiliate KTVX.
"Everybody just kind of chipped in and said great, let's do what we can," said spokeswoman Ellen Treanor.
At least 13 homes and eight outbuildings have been destroyed in Brian Head, which is about 30 miles north of Zion National Park.
The massive Brian Head Fire has burned about 37,000 acres and is just 5% contained, according to Brian Head Fire spokeswoman Elaine Briggs.
The fire started June 17 and "grew very quickly through dense timber," officials said.
Temperatures in Brian Head are expected to be fairly moderate, in the low 70s and upper 60s, through Friday, but no rain is in sight.

Other fires


Sixteen other active fires of lesser size are blazing around the West.
In New Mexico, the Corral Fire reached about 17,000 acres and is burning with low to moderate intensity, according to New Mexico Fire Information.
And in central Oregon, the Rhoades Canyon Fire grew to 15,000 acres but was 50% contained, according to CNN affiliate KTVZ.
The heat in the West and Southwest is blamed for the deaths of two people in California, and it could have been a factor in the deaths of two hikers whose bodies were found in New Mexico's Carlsbad Caverns National Park.

How the Trump Dossier and the Syrian Crisis caused Russiagate

WaPo's Latest RussiaGate Story Is an Enormous, Treasonous Turd
The people involved in perpetuating RussiaGate are guilty of things far worse than anything Russia is accused of doing. They are knowingly inciting a civil war even as their narrative continues to fall apart.

Tom Longo




.
24 June, 2017

The Washington Post, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the U.S. Deep State, published what may be the most detailed half-truth I’ve ever read. This account of the Obama Administration’s handling of an intelligence report with substantive ‘proof’ that Russia hack the U.S. presidential election reads like a Tom Clancy novel.

For a time.

It’s a compelling story that will take in the uncritical reader until the moment where the writers refuse to divulge what intelligence report they are talking about. It goes from Tom Clancy’s Hunt for the Red Hack-tober to another chapter in Twilight of the American Gods.

In other words, tl;dr.

Because, as others have already pointed out, the only document this WaPo article could be talking about is the patently absurd Trump Dossier. You know the one John McCain bought from Evan McMullin which details Trump’s alleged lewd behavior in a Moscow hotel with a hooker.
Yeah, that one.

This ‘intelligence report’ was so compelling it took months of arm-twisting to get anyone outside of CIA Director James Brennan’s office to even tepidly endorse it.

This type of reporting is a classic example of the best lie contains a kernel of truth. I remember reading a similar article in 2015 about the rise of ISIS from the New York Times a friend sent me. It laid out in spectacular detail what ISIS was, where its ideas came from and all of that. Compelling stuff and it made you want to support getting rid of them at all costs.

The problem was, it conveniently forgot to mention what gave ISIS its start.

It never asked the most salient question, “How did this group manage to get enough weapons to wage war across two continents?”

Both of these articles are like coming into a movie late and missing the inciting incident.

The goal here is to overwhelm you with facts and quotes, telling the human side of the response to what precipitated this story without knowing the truth about what started the whole farrago.

This is the worst kind of disinformation. It purports to be investigative journalism but it is nothing but misdirection, designed to shift blame and allow the reader’s imagination and normalcy bias fill in the rest.

The end result, in the case of RussiaGate, is to foment a civil war in the United States and overthrow a democratic election on the grounds that it was illegitimate. And if there was any real proof of collusion between the Trump campaign and Putin’s intelligence services to undermine the election, then I would consider his removal from office.

But there isn’t.

There is only the wholly discredited Trump Dossier and the existential fears of specific members of the U.S. Deep State *COUGH* John McCain *COUGH* that will land them indicted for espionage at a minimum or treason at worst.

Because, the dissemination of knowingly false intelligence to undermine the efficacy of our intelligence services in support of personal political goals is a betrayal of the U.S. at its highest level.

To double down and create a massive conspiracy to move a significant portion of the electorate towards insurrection and violence goes far beyond anything the Rosenberg’s did.

And we hung them.

The people involved in perpetuating RussiaGate at this point are acting far worse than anything Russia is accused of doing. They are knowingly inciting a civil war even if their narrative continues to fall apart.
It is the only way to avoid their fate.

The damage done to our democratic process will be felt for a generation or more. The hard-left Democrats and Progressives who need to believe this lie will cling to it as their raison d’tre; donning their vagina hats, black masks and hijabs to march against the Putin Puppet in Chief.

Stephen Colbert and Rachel Maddow will help them tamp down any misgivings they may have after the sun goes down.

All the while the Deep State continues on pushing for global control and potential world war.

As Putin rightfully points out in his interview with Oliver Stone: “Presidents change, but the policy doesn’t.”



Alexander Mercouris

Washington Post confirms Trump Dossier caused Russiagate, triggering demands within an Obama administration humiliated at being bested by Russia in Syria for a massive showdown with Russia.

Wildfires in Spain spread to national park

1000s evacuated as Spanish wildfire rips through UNESCO World Heritage site 


1000s evacuated as Spanish wildfire rips through UNESCO World Heritage site (PHOTOS, VIDEOS)
@Plan_INFOCA / Twitter

RT,
25 June, 2017

Over 2,000 people have been evacuated from towns in southern Spain after huge wildfires spread to the Donana National Park, a UNESCO world heritage site.

Drone footage shows aftermath of deadly Portugal forest fire
People living in Moguer and Mazagon, located close to the inferno, have been evacuated by Spanish authorities as a precaution in light of the 64 deaths caused last week by a blazing wildfire in neighboring Portugal.

There have been no reports of injuries so far in Spain.

"The fire has entered in the limits of the reserve, and that is where we are focusing our efforts," Jose Gregorio Fiscal Lopez from the regional Andalusian authority in charge of the environment said as cited by The Deccan Chronicle.

Cars stop by on the road to Mazagón as smoke billows in a pine forest, on July 25, 2017. © © Cristina Quicler / AFP

The 50,000 hectare (123,550 acre) nature reserve is an important stop for migratory birds travelling from Africa to Europe and vice versa, in addition to being home to two highly endangered species, the Iberian lynx and the Iberian imperial eagle.

An ongoing heatwave, with daily temperatures reaching 39 degrees Celsius (102 degrees Fahrenheit), combined with shifting winds of up to 60 kph (37 mph) has exacerbated the wildfire threat across the Iberian peninsula.

Susana Diaz, the regional president of Andalusia, said "there's no risk to the population" but added that authorities “are not ruling out the human factor" as a possible cause of the fire.

Díaz also described the emergency services operation as "exemplary," as cited by El Mundo.  

Hotel guests, local residents and 600 staff at the National Institute of Aerospace technology were all evacuated Sunday morning as the blaze continued to spread and over 60 firefighters and 21 air units were combating the blaze reports InfoLibre.

Four drones are being used to help monitor the spread of the fire and coordinate firefighting efforts.

Novedad : 4 drones para vigilancia y seguimiento nocturno y sistema informático Hermes para gestión global de medios

The Spanish Air Force has been heavily involved in the battle against the wildfires in central Portugal in recent weeks and resources may have to be reallocated if the blaze in southern Spain is not brought under control soon.  

los 4 aviones del han lanzado casi 900 toneladas de agua sobre el de